First Vienna vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
First Vienna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1990 |
RBS
2 - 0
VIE
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1990 |
VIE
0 - 2
RAP
39%
25%
37%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 1989 |
WIE
1 - 1
VIE
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1989 |
VIE
0 - 6
44%
24%
32%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1989 |
VIE
7 - 1
GRA
74%
16%
10%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1990 |
RAP
2 - 0
STR
74%
16%
10%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1990 |
STR
0 - 0
32%
27%
42%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1989 |
RAP
3 - 0
STR
71%
18%
12%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 1989 |
RBS
0 - 0
STR
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1989 |
STR
2 - 1
WIE
60%
22%
19%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |