First Vienna vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
31%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
First Vienna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 1986 |
AUK
1 - 2
VIE
54%
26%
20%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1986 |
VIE
1 - 1
RAP
23%
26%
52%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1986 |
SWA
5 - 0
VIE
73%
17%
11%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1986 |
WIE
6 - 1
VIE
65%
21%
15%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1986 |
VIE
1 - 0
SPI
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 1986 |
STR
2 - 0
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1986 |
LAS
2 - 1
STR
56%
23%
20%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1986 |
STR
1 - 0
GRA
59%
23%
19%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1986 |
2 - 1
STR
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1986 |
STR
2 - 1
LAS
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |