First Vienna vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
First Vienna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
WIE
2 - 1
VIE
72%
17%
11%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
VIE
1 - 0
LAS
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1979 |
RAP
0 - 0
VIE
72%
18%
11%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 1979 |
VIE
0 - 2
RBS
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1979 |
AUS
1 - 2
VIE
83%
11%
5%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1979 |
STR
2 - 1
LIN
55%
24%
20%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
AUS
6 - 1
STR
80%
13%
7%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1979 |
STR
0 - 2
RBS
58%
23%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 1979 |
RAP
4 - 0
STR
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1979 |
STR
3 - 1
GRA
59%
23%
19%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |