First Vienna vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
16.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
First Vienna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1973 |
VIE
2 - 1
RBS
44%
27%
28%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1973 |
LAS
4 - 2
VIE
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1973 |
VIE
0 - 0
RAP
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1973 |
SSW
4 - 0
VIE
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1973 |
VIE
3 - 1
EIS
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1973 |
STR
1 - 1
GRA
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1973 |
LBN
1 - 2
STR
54%
26%
20%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1973 |
STR
5 - 0
AWN
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
WIE
0 - 0
STR
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1973 |
STR
0 - 0
LIN
38%
30%
33%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |