First Vienna vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
First Vienna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1971 |
AWM
1 - 2
VIE
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
VIE
0 - 0
SIM
70%
19%
12%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1971 |
WIE
0 - 4
VIE
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1971 |
VIE
1 - 1
LBN
67%
18%
14%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
BIS
2 - 2
VIE
18%
24%
58%
|
72 | 45 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1971 |
STR
1 - 0
WIE
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1971 |
LBN
2 - 1
STR
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1971 |
STR
2 - 1
BIS
82%
14%
5%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1971 |
LIN
4 - 0
STR
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1971 |
STR
1 - 1
GRA
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |