First Vienna vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
First Vienna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1971 |
SWW
1 - 2
VIE
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1971 |
VIE
5 - 0
AWM
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1971 |
RAP
2 - 2
VIE
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1971 |
VIE
3 - 2
WIN
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1971 |
RAP
3 - 1
VIE
67%
17%
16%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1971 |
STR
1 - 3
RBS
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1971 |
SWB
2 - 0
STR
38%
29%
33%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1971 |
STR
0 - 1
WIE
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1971 |
WIN
4 - 3
STR
64%
21%
14%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1971 |
WAT
1 - 2
STR
50%
26%
25%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |