First Vienna vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
First Vienna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1969 |
GRA
0 - 0
VIE
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1969 |
VIE
4 - 3
SWW
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1969 |
RAP
0 - 0
VIE
77%
15%
8%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1968 |
VIE
3 - 1
GRA
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 1968 |
AWM
2 - 1
VIE
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1969 |
SWW
4 - 1
STR
46%
26%
29%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1969 |
STR
6 - 3
AUS
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1969 |
WIN
0 - 1
STR
64%
19%
18%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1969 |
STR
4 - 0
LBN
76%
15%
9%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 1969 |
AUK
2 - 0
STR
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |