First Vienna vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.2%
Win probability
4.13
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1%
8-0
1.6%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.2%
7-0
3.1%
8-1
1.2%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.5%
6-0
5.2%
7-1
2.3%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
8%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
3.9%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
+5
12.5%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
5.7%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.3%
5.7%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
5.7%
2.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
First Vienna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1943 |
VIE
4 - 1
AUS
66%
16%
18%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1943 |
FCN
2 - 3
VIE
41%
21%
38%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1943 |
VIE
6 - 5
BSV
92%
6%
3%
|
80 | 30 | 50 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1943 |
WIE
5 - 4
VIE
41%
21%
39%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1943 |
SAS
1 - 7
VIE
17%
18%
66%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1943 |
SAA
1 - 2
S04
80%
12%
8%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1943 |
S04
4 - 2
SKF
30%
22%
47%
|
44 | 68 | 24 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1943 |
ERF
0 - 4
S04
22%
21%
57%
|
43 | 15 | 28 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1942 |
MUN
2 - 0
S04
86%
9%
5%
|
44 | 68 | 24 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1942 |
S04
2 - 0
BRE
83%
11%
7%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |