First Vienna vs Baumgarten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
9.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
First Vienna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
SCH
0 - 3
VIE
29%
24%
47%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2006 |
VIE
0 - 3
WIE
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2006 |
SKN
3 - 0
VIE
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2006 |
VIE
0 - 0
FCW
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2006 |
KRE
2 - 3
VIE
22%
25%
53%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
BAU
1 - 0
TFW
42%
25%
34%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2006 |
SCH
1 - 2
BAU
49%
25%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2006 |
BAU
3 - 3
WUR
40%
25%
35%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2006 |
RAP
0 - 0
BAU
73%
17%
10%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2006 |
BAU
1 - 0
EIS
40%
24%
37%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |