First Vienna vs SKU Amstetten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
4º
15º
4º
16
15º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
First Vienna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2024 |
AWM
0 - 3
VIE
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
VIE
4 - 2
KAP
59%
22%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
FCL
0 - 1
VIE
61%
21%
18%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
VIE
2 - 1
RIE
27%
26%
47%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FAC
1 - 0
VIE
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
SKU Amstetten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2024 |
AMS
1 - 1
SVH
32%
25%
43%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
AMS
1 - 1
FCL
19%
22%
60%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
KAP
4 - 2
AMS
52%
23%
25%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
AMS
3 - 2
FAC
23%
26%
51%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
RIE
3 - 0
AMS
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | -1 |