Europa League Semi-finals
Global 4-3
Fehérvár vs Željeznicar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
16.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fehérvár
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1985 |
FHV
1 - 0
MUD
26%
25%
49%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1985 |
MUD
1 - 0
FHV
83%
12%
6%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1984 |
PAR
2 - 0
FHV
87%
8%
5%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1984 |
FHV
5 - 0
PAR
4%
29%
68%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1984 |
FHV
1 - 0
PSG
12%
29%
59%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Željeznicar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1985 |
DNM
1 - 1
ZEL
60%
20%
20%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1985 |
ZEL
2 - 0
DNM
48%
23%
29%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1984 |
ZEL
4 - 0
FCU
60%
21%
20%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1984 |
FCU
2 - 0
ZEL
74%
15%
12%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1984 |
SIO
1 - 1
ZEL
75%
14%
11%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |