Fehérvár vs Újpest FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
26.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
4º
10º
7º
28
4º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 57 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 55 |
2º
|
17% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 54 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 53 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 51 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
28 | 49 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
|
7º
|
24 | 43 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 40 |
8º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 38 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 35 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
11º
|
24.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 33 |
12º
|
38% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0.5% | 3% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
2% | 13% |
|
Mid-table
|
89% | 83% |
|
Relegation
|
8.5% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fehérvár
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
DIO
1 - 0
FHV
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
FHV
6 - 1
KTE
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
FHV
2 - 1
DIO
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
FHV
2 - 0
DVS
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
FTC
2 - 0
FHV
46%
26%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Újpest FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
FCB
3 - 3
UJP
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
UJP
0 - 0
PAK
33%
23%
44%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
PUS
1 - 1
UJP
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
BUD
0 - 1
UJP
14%
19%
67%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
MTK
4 - 1
UJP
46%
25%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |