Europa League Final
Global 1-3
Fehérvár vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
26.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fehérvár
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1985 |
ZEL
2 - 1
FHV
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1985 |
FHV
3 - 1
ZEL
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1985 |
FHV
1 - 0
MUD
26%
25%
49%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1985 |
MUD
1 - 0
FHV
83%
12%
6%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1984 |
PAR
2 - 0
FHV
87%
8%
5%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1985 |
RMA
3 - 0
INT
63%
22%
15%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
RMA
0 - 1
HER
80%
13%
7%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
VCF
1 - 0
RMA
39%
27%
35%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1985 |
INT
2 - 0
RMA
47%
28%
25%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1985 |
RMA
0 - 4
ATM
59%
21%
19%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |