Fehérvár vs Paksi FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
39.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
4º
9º
5º
10
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
10 | 61 |
1º
|
42% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 58 |
2º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 53 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 52 |
4º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
9 | 49 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 48 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 46 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 46 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 45 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 41 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 31 |
11º
|
54% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 19 |
12º
|
81% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
2.5% | 42% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
17% | 36% |
|
Mid-table
|
78.5% | 22% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fehérvár
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MON
0 - 2
FHV
5%
12%
83%
|
77 | 33 | 44 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
FHV
1 - 0
MTK
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
NYI
3 - 3
FHV
28%
27%
46%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FHV
1 - 1
ZTE
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
FHV
0 - 2
OMO
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Paksi FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
PAK
2 - 1
PUS
49%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
PAK
0 - 3
MBO
44%
22%
34%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
MBO
2 - 2
PAK
47%
21%
31%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PAK
2 - 1
NYI
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 2
PAK
14%
17%
69%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |