Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 1-3
Fehérvár vs Maribor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fehérvár
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2010 |
DVS
1 - 0
FHV
55%
21%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
GYO
1 - 0
FHV
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2010 |
FHV
1 - 1
UJP
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2010 |
FHV
3 - 0
VAS
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2010 |
DVS
3 - 2
FHV
56%
22%
21%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2010 |
FCK
0 - 0
MAR
43%
24%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 0
NKI
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2010 |
NKD
0 - 1
MAR
30%
26%
44%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
MAR
3 - 2
DOM
55%
22%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 1
CEL
57%
22%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |