UEFA Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 4-5
Fehérvár vs Marek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
17.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fehérvár
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2003 |
FHV
1 - 2
SOP
64%
20%
16%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
DUN
2 - 2
FHV
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
BEK
1 - 0
FHV
30%
27%
43%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2003 |
FHV
1 - 2
BUD
68%
18%
13%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
ZTE
3 - 2
FHV
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Marek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2003 |
RIL
3 - 3
MAR
28%
26%
46%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 1
CVA
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
CHE
2 - 3
MAR
47%
25%
29%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
MAR
5 - 0
DOB
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
LPL
5 - 0
MAR
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |