Europa League Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Fehérvár vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
49.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fehérvár
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1985 |
MUD
1 - 0
FHV
83%
12%
6%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1984 |
PAR
2 - 0
FHV
87%
8%
5%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1984 |
FHV
5 - 0
PAR
4%
29%
68%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1984 |
FHV
1 - 0
PSG
12%
29%
59%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1984 |
PSG
2 - 4
FHV
97%
2%
1%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1985 |
WHU
2 - 2
MUD
34%
26%
40%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1985 |
TOT
1 - 2
MUD
49%
24%
26%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1985 |
MUD
4 - 2
WHU
67%
21%
12%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1985 |
MUD
1 - 0
FHV
83%
12%
6%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1985 |
MUD
1 - 1
EVE
53%
25%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |