Fehérvár vs Ararat Yerevan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fehérvár
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
OSI
1 - 1
FHV
57%
23%
21%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
FHV
2 - 2
FCR
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
GAZ
2 - 0
FHV
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
SVL
1 - 2
FHV
20%
23%
57%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
EKI
0 - 1
FHV
2%
6%
92%
|
78 | 9 | 69 | 0 |
Matches
Ararat Yerevan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2021 |
ARA
5 - 2
SHI
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2021 |
ARA
0 - 1
ALA
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
BAN
2 - 0
ARA
35%
28%
37%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
AVA
1 - 1
ARA
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
ALA
1 - 3
ARA
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |