Victoriano Arenas vs Villa San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Victoriano Arenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
VIC
2 - 2
EXC
61%
21%
17%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ALE
4 - 0
VIC
31%
28%
41%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -3 |
| 13 Sep. 2018 |
VIC
2 - 3
ITA
71%
18%
11%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
CAÑ
1 - 1
VIC
24%
27%
49%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -4 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
VIC
3 - 1
MID
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Villa San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
VSC
0 - 1
DOC
59%
23%
18%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2018 |
EXC
0 - 0
VSC
47%
26%
27%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2018 |
VSC
1 - 0
LAM
44%
26%
30%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
ALE
0 - 0
VSC
47%
27%
25%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -4 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
VSC
1 - 1
LUJ
39%
29%
32%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |