Victoriano Arenas vs Puerto Nuevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
39.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Victoriano Arenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ARR
2 - 0
VIC
60%
22%
18%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
VIC
1 - 2
SBA
21%
25%
54%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
CES
0 - 1
VIC
26%
27%
47%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
VIC
1 - 1
CAA
22%
24%
54%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2015 |
ALE
1 - 0
VIC
60%
23%
17%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Puerto Nuevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
SBA
1 - 1
PUE
74%
16%
10%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
PUE
1 - 0
CAA
25%
24%
51%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
LIN
1 - 0
PUE
67%
19%
14%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
PUE
0 - 1
POR
35%
26%
39%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2015 |
DPA
0 - 2
PUE
63%
20%
16%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |