Victoriano Arenas vs Dep. Muñiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Victoriano Arenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
ITU
0 - 0
VIC
57%
25%
18%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2017 |
VIC
3 - 2
CAA
36%
26%
37%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2017 |
ALE
1 - 0
VIC
63%
22%
15%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2017 |
VIC
1 - 1
JUU
54%
25%
21%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
LUG
1 - 0
VIC
27%
27%
46%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Dep. Muñiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
CAA
3 - 1
MUÑ
71%
18%
11%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2017 |
MUÑ
0 - 1
JUU
38%
27%
35%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2017 |
PUE
1 - 0
MUÑ
43%
26%
31%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
MUÑ
0 - 0
LIN
47%
26%
28%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
LAM
1 - 0
MUÑ
30%
29%
41%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |