Victoriano Arenas vs Dep. Muñiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Victoriano Arenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2015 |
PUE
2 - 1
VIC
35%
27%
38%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
VIC
1 - 0
ARR
54%
24%
22%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SBA
3 - 2
VIC
65%
21%
14%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2015 |
VIC
2 - 1
CES
62%
22%
16%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
CAA
2 - 1
VIC
65%
22%
14%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Muñiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2015 |
MUÑ
0 - 1
ARR
42%
26%
32%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CES
0 - 2
MUÑ
50%
26%
24%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
MUÑ
1 - 1
ALE
28%
29%
43%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
YUP
1 - 1
MUÑ
59%
22%
19%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
MUÑ
1 - 0
ITU
20%
26%
55%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | +2 |