Victoriano Arenas vs CA Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
35.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Victoriano Arenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
YUP
2 - 0
VIC
63%
21%
16%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
VIC
2 - 0
JUU
20%
25%
55%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +3 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
ALE
0 - 1
VIC
71%
19%
10%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
POR
4 - 0
VIC
77%
16%
7%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
VIC
0 - 0
ITU
31%
28%
41%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 2
PUE
45%
25%
30%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2016 |
CBA
1 - 1
LUG
47%
25%
28%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 0
DPA
43%
27%
31%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
CAA
4 - 1
LUG
67%
21%
13%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
LUG
3 - 2
LIN
34%
27%
39%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |