Victoriano Arenas vs Arg. Rosario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Victoriano Arenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
RIE
3 - 1
VIC
60%
23%
17%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
VIC
4 - 1
MUÑ
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
SMG
0 - 1
VIC
45%
27%
28%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
VIC
0 - 0
POR
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
YUP
2 - 2
VIC
46%
25%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arg. Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
ARR
2 - 2
POR
50%
25%
25%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
DPA
0 - 4
ARR
35%
26%
39%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CES
0 - 1
ARR
58%
23%
19%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
SAC
5 - 2
ARR
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ARR
0 - 1
CBA
59%
22%
20%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |