Victoria Hamburg vs Wandsbeker Concordia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.9%
6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
5º
12º
8º
19
12º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 85 |
1º
|
83% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 77 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 73 |
3º
|
54.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 67 |
4º
|
56.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 59 |
5º
|
40% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 58 |
6º
|
37.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 51 |
7º
|
33% | |
|
|
9º
|
28 | 46 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 45 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 43 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 43 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 43 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 39 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 38 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 36 |
15º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
19 | 30 |
16º
|
58% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 22 |
17º
|
79.5% | |
|
18º
|
5 | 13 |
18º
|
91% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 32% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 68% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Victoria Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
NIE
5 - 2
VHG
53%
22%
25%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
VHG
1 - 3
PAL
63%
19%
18%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HEB
0 - 2
VHG
41%
21%
38%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
VHG
2 - 1
SUD
58%
18%
23%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ALT
2 - 1
VHG
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Wandsbeker Concordia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
PAL
1 - 0
WAN
79%
13%
8%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
WAN
0 - 1
SUD
23%
19%
58%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SAS
4 - 2
WAN
88%
8%
4%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
WAN
0 - 1
EIM
19%
20%
61%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
BUC
3 - 0
WAN
66%
17%
16%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -2 |