Victoria Hamburg vs Union Tornesch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
11.4%
8.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
3º
12º
8º
24
15º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
82.5% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Victoria Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
WAN
2 - 1
VHG
34%
21%
45%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PAL
4 - 1
VHG
61%
19%
21%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
VHG
6 - 2
HAM
75%
14%
11%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ALT
2 - 1
VHG
70%
18%
12%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
VHG
7 - 1
DNB
85%
9%
6%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Union Tornesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
UTO
1 - 6
ALT
12%
18%
71%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
UTO
1 - 3
NIE
12%
17%
71%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
DAS
7 - 1
UTO
86%
10%
4%
|
22 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
UTO
1 - 3
THA
22%
20%
58%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
UTO
0 - 2
WIL
72%
15%
13%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |