Victoria Hamburg vs Süderelbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.3%
23.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
5º
12º
8º
19
15º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 85 |
1º
|
83% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 77 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 73 |
3º
|
54.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 67 |
4º
|
56.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 59 |
5º
|
40% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 58 |
6º
|
37.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 51 |
7º
|
33% | |
|
|
9º
|
28 | 46 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 45 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 43 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 43 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 43 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 39 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 38 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
|
16º
|
19 | 36 |
15º
|
28.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 30 |
16º
|
58% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 22 |
17º
|
79.5% | |
|
18º
|
5 | 13 |
18º
|
91% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 89% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 11% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Victoria Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ALT
2 - 1
VHG
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
VHG
1 - 0
SAS
29%
23%
48%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
TOD
2 - 1
VHG
72%
16%
12%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
VHG
7 - 0
DOR
80%
12%
8%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
VHG
4 - 1
HAL
59%
18%
23%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Süderelbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SAS
3 - 1
SUD
70%
16%
14%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SUD
2 - 7
EIM
55%
21%
24%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
TOD
2 - 0
SUD
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
SUD
2 - 5
EIN
24%
21%
55%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
SUD
2 - 4
STP
23%
21%
57%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |