Victoria Hamburg vs Süderelbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.3%
23.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
6º
10º
7º
3
14º
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
22 | 80 |
1º
|
55.5% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 79 |
2º
|
41.5% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 63 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 60 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 59 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 59 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
10 | 54 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 53 |
8º
|
7.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 53 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 46 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 45 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 44 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 41 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
3 | 38 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 26 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 25 |
16º
|
19.5% | |
|
17º
|
3 | 22 |
17º
|
30% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 21 |
18º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 88% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 12% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Victoria Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ALT
2 - 1
VHG
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
VHG
1 - 0
SAS
29%
23%
48%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
TOD
2 - 1
VHG
72%
16%
12%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
VHG
7 - 0
DOR
80%
12%
8%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
VHG
4 - 1
HAL
59%
18%
23%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Süderelbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SAS
3 - 1
SUD
70%
16%
14%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SUD
2 - 7
EIM
55%
21%
24%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
TOD
2 - 0
SUD
70%
17%
13%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
SUD
2 - 5
EIN
24%
21%
55%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
SUD
2 - 4
STP
23%
21%
57%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |