Victoria Hamburg vs Rugenbergen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
7.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
3º
12º
10º
35
13º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 73 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 69 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
6º
|
63 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 46 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
92.5% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
90% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 78.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 21.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Victoria Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
VHG
1 - 0
UTO
85%
10%
5%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
WAN
1 - 1
VHG
29%
22%
50%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
VHG
1 - 4
EIM
34%
24%
43%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
VHG
2 - 1
DAS
20%
21%
59%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
BUC
1 - 4
VHG
14%
17%
69%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Rugenbergen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
RUG
0 - 3
WAN
31%
22%
47%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
EIM
5 - 0
RUG
86%
10%
5%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
DAS
4 - 1
RUG
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
RUG
4 - 1
BUC
69%
17%
14%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
HAM
3 - 0
RUG
58%
19%
23%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |