Victoria Hamburg vs Paloma Hamburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
18%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
6º
10º
6º
18
6º
16º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
23 | 81 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 77 |
2º
|
49% | |
|
1º
|
25 | 66 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 62 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 60 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
|
9º
|
14 | 57 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 56 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
|
6º
|
18 | 56 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 51 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 48 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 48 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 41 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 38 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
17º
|
3 | 34 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 29 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 24 |
16º
|
26% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 23 |
17º
|
24% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 19 |
18º
|
41.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Victoria Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HEB
0 - 2
VHG
41%
21%
38%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
VHG
2 - 1
SUD
58%
18%
23%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ALT
2 - 1
VHG
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
VHG
1 - 0
SAS
29%
23%
48%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
TOD
2 - 1
VHG
72%
16%
12%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Paloma Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
SUD
2 - 3
PAL
56%
20%
24%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PAL
3 - 1
SAS
19%
22%
60%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +4 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
EIM
2 - 1
PAL
70%
17%
13%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
PAL
1 - 4
BUC
54%
21%
26%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
PAL
4 - 0
ITK
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |