Victoria Hamburg vs Hamburger SV III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.1%
15.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
3º
12º
10º
31
10º
16º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 73 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 69 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
6º
|
63 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 46 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
92.5% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
90% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Victoria Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
NIE
1 - 0
VHG
50%
22%
29%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
VHG
2 - 1
WAN
59%
19%
22%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2022 |
CUR
2 - 4
VHG
41%
22%
38%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
SAS
2 - 2
VHG
61%
18%
21%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2022 |
VHG
1 - 2
CUR
63%
18%
19%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Hamburger SV III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
HAM
0 - 2
WAN
53%
20%
27%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 2
HAM
13%
16%
70%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
HAM
5 - 3
BRA
88%
8%
4%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
MEI
0 - 4
HAM
5%
11%
85%
|
24 | 8 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
HAM
10 - 3
MEI
92%
6%
2%
|
24 | 8 | 16 | 0 |