Victoria Hamburg vs FC Türkiye Wilhelmsburg Aca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.6%
14%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
14%
12.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+169%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
3º
12º
8º
32
11º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
82.5% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Victoria Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
ATB
7 - 2
VHG
9%
13%
79%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
VHG
3 - 2
SAS
17%
20%
63%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +4 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
UTO
0 - 4
VHG
23%
20%
58%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
VHG
4 - 3
WAN
50%
20%
30%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
BUC
2 - 1
VHG
24%
20%
56%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC Türkiye Wilhelmsburg Aca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
ETH
3 - 0
WIL
19%
19%
62%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
WIL
2 - 2
NIE
17%
18%
65%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
DAS
1 - 2
WIL
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
WIL
3 - 3
THA
33%
21%
46%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
RUG
0 - 2
WIL
63%
18%
19%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +2 |