Victoria Hamburg vs Düneberger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
3.77
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.5%
5-0
5%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.9%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
3%
2-1
6%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.7%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
9.1%
6.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
3º
12º
8º
17
15º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
82.5% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Victoria Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
SUD
0 - 0
VHG
56%
19%
25%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
HAL
1 - 2
VHG
31%
22%
47%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
VHG
2 - 2
HEB
37%
21%
42%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
RUG
3 - 2
VHG
20%
19%
61%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
VHG
1 - 1
ETH
80%
11%
9%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Düneberger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
DNB
0 - 2
ALT
12%
16%
72%
|
15 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
DNB
1 - 5
ETH
26%
21%
54%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
DNB
0 - 5
DAS
9%
16%
74%
|
17 | 47 | 30 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
THA
4 - 0
DNB
70%
16%
13%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
DNB
4 - 0
WIL
38%
22%
40%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +2 |