Victoria CF vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.2%
+1
5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
17.9%
76.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
18.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
18.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
23.7%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
-3
14.7%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Victoria CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
VIC
0 - 1
GAL
52%
23%
25%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
VIC
1 - 0
HER
30%
26%
45%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
BET
1 - 3
VIC
58%
21%
21%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
VIC
0 - 0
ASP
42%
24%
35%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
FOZ
0 - 1
VIC
20%
21%
59%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 3
FCB
31%
24%
45%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 2
MUD
44%
24%
31%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
CEL
1 - 1
VIL
26%
24%
50%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 0
GET
71%
19%
11%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 0
YOB
66%
19%
15%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |