Europa League Quarter-finals
Global 1-5
Victoria Bucuresti vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
42.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Victoria Bucuresti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1988 |
VIC
5 - 2
CLU
63%
18%
19%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1988 |
FCU
2 - 2
VIC
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1988 |
TPS
3 - 2
VIC
37%
24%
39%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1988 |
SPO
1 - 1
VIC
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1988 |
VIC
2 - 1
RAP
74%
16%
10%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1989 |
ERF
2 - 2
SGD
20%
25%
56%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1988 |
ROM
0 - 2
SGD
36%
27%
37%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1988 |
FCU
1 - 3
SGD
15%
24%
62%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1988 |
SGD
2 - 0
ROM
71%
18%
11%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1988 |
SGD
2 - 0
BWA
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | +1 |