Europa League 1/32
Global 4-0
Victoria Bucuresti vs EPA Larnaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.1%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
7.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.7%
4-0
12.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
14.8%
3-0
16.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.7%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
7.9%
2%
Win probability
0.31
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Victoria Bucuresti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1987 |
VIC
2 - 3
DBU
52%
22%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
SUC
0 - 2
VIC
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
EPA
0 - 1
VIC
20%
23%
58%
|
74 | 8 | 66 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1987 |
VIC
0 - 1
FCU
53%
22%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
FCM
0 - 1
VIC
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
EPA Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
EPA
0 - 1
VIC
20%
23%
58%
|
8 | 74 | 66 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1972 |
ARA
1 - 0
EPA
90%
8%
3%
|
7 | 69 | 62 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1972 |
EPA
0 - 1
ARA
14%
22%
65%
|
7 | 68 | 61 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1970 |
MON
10 - 0
EPA
91%
6%
3%
|
7 | 86 | 79 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
EPA
0 - 6
MON
14%
18%
68%
|
8 | 86 | 78 | -1 |