Vicenza Sub 19 vs Varese Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
62%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
UDI
3 - 0
VIC
82%
13%
5%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
VIC
2 - 2
CHI
12%
24%
64%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
ABL
3 - 2
VIC
69%
19%
12%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
VIC
0 - 1
BRE
13%
23%
64%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
PAD
2 - 2
VIC
63%
20%
17%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Varese Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
VAR
2 - 1
INT
21%
23%
56%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
TRI
1 - 2
VAR
23%
23%
55%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
VAR
2 - 1
CAG
68%
19%
14%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
PSU
0 - 4
VAR
12%
19%
69%
|
33 | 11 | 22 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
VAR
1 - 2
ATA
39%
26%
35%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |