Coppa Italia Serie C Semi-finals
Global 1-1
Vicenza vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
32.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
VIC
2 - 1
REN
61%
22%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 0
VIC
22%
27%
51%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
VIC
1 - 2
NOV
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
JS2
2 - 1
VIC
25%
26%
49%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
VIC
3 - 0
ABN
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
OLB
1 - 1
ACD
18%
24%
58%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ACD
2 - 0
FER
69%
20%
11%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
IMO
1 - 2
ACD
12%
22%
67%
|
60 | 35 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ACD
0 - 0
ASG
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ACD
4 - 0
CAR
71%
19%
11%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | +1 |