Coppa Italia Quarter-finals
Global 4-8
Vicenza vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
44.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2003 |
SAL
0 - 1
VIC
26%
26%
48%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2003 |
ASC
1 - 4
VIC
28%
27%
45%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
VIC
4 - 2
CAG
59%
23%
19%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2002 |
BOL
0 - 2
VIC
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
LEC
1 - 1
VIC
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
ROM
0 - 1
CHI
68%
19%
13%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
TOR
0 - 1
ROM
26%
27%
47%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2002 |
ROM
1 - 1
TRI
79%
16%
6%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
ROM
3 - 0
REG
74%
16%
9%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2002 |
AJA
2 - 1
ROM
56%
22%
22%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |