Vicenza vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
VIC
3 - 1
MOD
69%
18%
13%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
CAG
0 - 1
VIC
69%
18%
13%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1976 |
SAM
0 - 1
VIC
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 1976 |
TAR
2 - 1
VIC
38%
33%
30%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 1976 |
VIC
1 - 1
SPA
59%
25%
16%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
PRG
2 - 1
SAM
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
PRG
3 - 0
MOD
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1976 |
CAG
0 - 0
PRG
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
PRG
1 - 0
JUV
21%
25%
54%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
NAP
4 - 0
PRG
71%
19%
10%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |