Vicenza vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.7%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
36.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
ABN
2 - 2
VIC
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2011 |
VIC
1 - 0
TOR
34%
30%
36%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
VIC
0 - 1
REG
34%
29%
37%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
CTT
0 - 1
VIC
54%
26%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
VIC
1 - 1
SAS
40%
29%
31%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
NOV
0 - 0
SAS
58%
24%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 1
NOV
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
NOV
0 - 0
POR
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
NOV
1 - 1
VAR
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
LIV
1 - 0
NOV
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |