Vicenza vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
10.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1977 |
RIM
0 - 0
VIC
35%
29%
36%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
PAL
0 - 1
VIC
38%
32%
30%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
VIC
0 - 0
TER
67%
22%
12%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1977 |
VIC
0 - 0
TAR
70%
21%
9%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
ASS
1 - 1
VIC
42%
30%
28%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1977 |
NOV
3 - 3
PES
38%
33%
29%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
ATL
4 - 1
NOV
65%
23%
12%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
NOV
0 - 0
BRE
45%
31%
24%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1977 |
NOV
1 - 1
VAR
36%
30%
34%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
CAT
3 - 2
NOV
52%
31%
17%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |