Vicenza vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
30.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
SIE
2 - 0
VIC
64%
23%
13%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
VIC
3 - 1
PIA
42%
29%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 0
VIC
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2011 |
ASC
2 - 1
VIC
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
VIC
1 - 0
NOV
34%
30%
37%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2011 |
MOD
1 - 2
ATL
27%
29%
44%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
LIV
0 - 1
MOD
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
MOD
1 - 0
PES
51%
26%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
SAS
1 - 1
MOD
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
MOD
2 - 1
FRO
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |