Vicenza vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
30%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
MAN
1 - 0
VIC
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
VIC
0 - 2
CRO
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
CES
3 - 1
VIC
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
VIC
1 - 0
BRE
32%
28%
41%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
TRI
0 - 0
VIC
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
MOD
0 - 1
PIA
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
FRO
0 - 0
MOD
45%
25%
29%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
MOD
0 - 2
TOR
37%
29%
34%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
REG
0 - 1
MOD
58%
23%
18%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
MOD
2 - 1
ANC
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |