Vicenza vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
+3
11.6%
2-0
16%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
18.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
10.2%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
CAG
1 - 3
VIC
39%
32%
30%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
VIC
1 - 0
TAR
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
SPA
1 - 1
VIC
32%
26%
43%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
NAP
2 - 1
VIC
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
VIC
1 - 1
LAZ
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
MOD
1 - 0
LEC
42%
32%
26%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
PIS
0 - 2
MOD
66%
22%
12%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
MOD
0 - 1
SIE
22%
25%
53%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
AVE
1 - 0
MOD
76%
16%
8%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
MOD
0 - 0
TOR
19%
27%
54%
|
47 | 80 | 33 | 0 |