Vicenza vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1952 |
VER
0 - 1
VIC
61%
22%
18%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1952 |
VIC
0 - 0
ACM
61%
21%
19%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1952 |
PAD
0 - 1
VIC
66%
19%
15%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1952 |
VIC
0 - 0
ATP
59%
21%
19%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1952 |
ASL
1 - 1
VIC
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1952 |
MOD
0 - 2
ASS
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1952 |
ATP
2 - 2
MOD
61%
21%
18%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1952 |
MOD
1 - 0
SIR
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1952 |
MOD
2 - 0
MES
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1952 |
SAL
1 - 1
MOD
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |