Vicenza vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
VIC
2 - 1
REG
40%
22%
38%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
USC
1 - 1
VIC
52%
23%
25%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Jul. 1948 |
VIC
1 - 2
FIO
48%
24%
28%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
VIC
1 - 3
ASL
51%
22%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
ACM
3 - 2
VIC
81%
12%
7%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
MOD
0 - 1
BRE
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
UNI
1 - 0
MOD
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1949 |
TRI
1 - 2
MOD
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1949 |
MOD
2 - 0
GEN
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1949 |
PRO
2 - 0
MOD
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |