Vicenza vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
55.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
BOL
3 - 0
VIC
77%
14%
9%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
VIC
0 - 0
SAM
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1964 |
MOD
2 - 1
VIC
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1964 |
MAN
0 - 0
VIC
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1964 |
VIC
1 - 0
SPA
53%
25%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
MAN
0 - 4
ACM
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
ACM
1 - 1
CAT
79%
13%
8%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1964 |
STR
2 - 0
ACM
27%
23%
50%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1964 |
ASS
2 - 1
ACM
19%
22%
59%
|
89 | 59 | 30 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1964 |
FIO
1 - 0
ACM
38%
24%
38%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |