Vicenza vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
61.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
MAN
0 - 0
VIC
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
VIC
3 - 0
SAM
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
INT
1 - 0
VIC
82%
12%
6%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
BOL
2 - 1
VIC
73%
16%
11%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1962 |
PAD
2 - 1
VIC
64%
20%
16%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
ACM
0 - 0
FIO
68%
17%
15%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
ACM
0 - 0
ATL
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
NAP
1 - 5
ACM
18%
22%
59%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1962 |
ULU
0 - 6
ACM
29%
23%
48%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
ACM
3 - 3
VNZ
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |