Vicenza vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
50%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
SPA
2 - 1
VIC
49%
26%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
JUV
4 - 1
VIC
83%
11%
6%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1959 |
SPA
1 - 0
VIC
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1959 |
VIC
1 - 0
ACM
80%
13%
7%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1959 |
UDI
1 - 0
VIC
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
ACM
1 - 1
ROM
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1959 |
ACM
3 - 1
OLP
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
USA
3 - 1
ACM
21%
23%
56%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1959 |
ACM
0 - 1
COM
90%
7%
3%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1959 |
OLP
2 - 2
ACM
43%
22%
35%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |