Vicenza vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
37.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
TRI
0 - 2
VIC
48%
23%
29%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1945 |
VIC
1 - 1
SAM
56%
21%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1943 |
VIC
1 - 1
ACL
60%
20%
20%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1943 |
VIC
0 - 1
GEN
45%
23%
33%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
JUV
2 - 6
VIC
85%
9%
6%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
ACM
1 - 1
JUV
49%
22%
29%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1945 |
GEN
1 - 0
ACM
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1943 |
TOR
5 - 0
ACM
76%
14%
10%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1943 |
ACM
1 - 0
TOR
45%
23%
32%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
LIV
3 - 1
ACM
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |